2010年8月19日星期四

How to understand Murphy's Law

Murphy's Law (Murphy's Law) is a commonly used slang Western world. It is the definition, description: they're about the possibility of such a possibility no matter how small, it happens. For example there are two keys in your pocket, one is your room, one is a car; If you would like to come up with car keys, what happens? Yes, you often come up with a room key.

Murphy, Edwards Air Force Base, the U.S. captain engineer. In 1949, he and his boss, Major Stapp, in a rocket deceleration overweight trials, the accident occurred due to equipment failure. Murphy found that instrumentation installed by a technician against the. As a result, his lesson is: If there are several ways to do a particular job, there is a way which will lead to an accident, it must be people who will do it this way. The original law said it like this: If there are two or more ways to do something, and one of those ways can result in a catastrophe, then someone will do it. (If you have two or more choices one of them will lead to disaster, then surely someone would make such a choice.) In a later press conference, Stapp calls it "Murphy's Law," and made an extremely simple way of re-statements : things may go wrong, it will go wrong. Murphy's Law in the technology sector, spread like wildfire, because it points to an irrefutable fact: the possibility of technical risk can be changed by the unexpected fact.

Murphy's Law, Peter Principle and Parkinson's law and Western culture as the three found in the twentieth century. But Murphy's Law ye a look, it seems a kind of fatalism and pessimism of the color, the possibility of anything bad, since it must be bad, it seems we can only wait for the tragedy happened. But we must proceed from the positive side to understand and apply Murphy's Law, so that we can get some inspiration this way.

1. Attention to small probability events

Murphy's Law was proposed based on the probabilities suddenly. Usually either in life or work, there is always some small probability event, but often people think that since the probability is so small, it basically does not occur, so calmly if the. But it is precisely such a small probability event, once happened, will cause irreparable losses. Now, more and more mine, accident, bridge collapse, and even Shanghai occurred while ago, "House crunchy" event, in fact, are small probability events, in the safe production of nuances not be perfect, the ultimate is the peril. Your lover in the cafe with a taste for Western food can be just met a wife of the Inner honey, which is a typical small-probability events. So remember, after all, the probability of a small probability greater than 0, not equal to 0!

2. Do a variety of coping strategies

As recognized a small probability events, "inevitability", it must make serious preparations in advance. The so-called man without thought there must be close at hand, take preventive measures, the one thing you do when fully on the dangers and possibilities to assess and make the necessary response is necessary. When you and your subordinates to engage in a dialogue on the payroll, when you first have to work closely with business partners, when you think from bank loans repayment plans, things you have to fully assess the various possibilities do all kinds of response strategies and methods. Order to achieve the "soldiers to the block, troubled water" can be adopted piecemeal measures, otherwise people out of a weird, you flew blindsided.

3. The face of a positive attitude

Murphy's Law implies that, when you realize that something is likely to become worse, it is more likely to do worse. Therefore, you must take positive attitude to face anything, because it involves a psychological hint of the problem. If you are failing to stop hesitating, always thinking fail to fail, then eventually you will fail, because your heart tells you fail, your heart guide you on the path to failure, then your action and thoughts will deviate from the normal pattern, resulting in distortion and deformation. A positive attitude to develop strategies to negative thinking to develop tactics to improve your chances of success.

4. Progress in the failure to improve

If bad things, and then it deteriorated it is important to learn from past experiences, in order to improve chances of success next time. Failure is not terrible, terrible thing is not to sum up lessons learned from the failures, but do not increase their self-confidence. In a sense, failures and difficulties in rising than in good times continue to improve even more valuable, the most famous U.S. president Abraham. Lincoln, just like his entire life history of the Department of success, it is a history of failure. Down in failure who is sad, but in the failure to improve people forward is respectable.

Seeing a lot of things often are large, a simple Murphy's Law, in fact, allows you to understand the life, work and life of many major significance.

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